Agenda

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08:00 - 09:00

Registration and Breakfast

09:00 - 09:05

Chair's Opening Remarks
Roula Khalaf, Associate Editor and Middle East Editor, Financial Times 

09:05 - 09:10

Summit Introduction
Izumi Kobayashi, Executive Vice President, Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA)

09:10 - 09:50 Guest Speaker
H.E. Jalloul Ayed, Minister of Finance, Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Tunisia

09:50 - 10:50

Panel Discussion - The changing landscape in the Middle East and North Africa: Do we need a new paradigm, or only new tools?

  • Current political and economic environment assessment: What has changed? What are the potential risks?
  • What does a transition from authoritarian rule to democracy mean? What are the complexities? Will we see stability?
  • Investor/lender outlook: What are the triggers to (re)entering these markets? Have circumstances in the region prompted investors/lenders to be more inclined to manage political risk?
Walid Bakr, Principal at Riyada Enterprise Development, Abraaj Capital Group
Laza Kekic, Director of Country Forecasting Services, The Economist Intelligence Unit
Daniel Korski, Head of MENA Programme, The European Council on Foreign Relations
Charles Paradis, Managing Director and Head of Concession Division, Bouygues Construction
Christine Shields, Head of Country Risk Research, Standard Chartered Bank

Moderator: Roula Khalaf, Associate Editor and Middle East Editor, Financial Times

10:50 - 11:20 Networking Break

11:20 - 11:30 MIGA Report: World Investment and Political Risk
Ravi Vish, Director and Chief Economist, Economics and Policy Group, Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA)

11:30 - 12:30

Panel Discussion - Government takings: Have the drivers of political risk changed?

  • What are the political and economic dynamics that motivate governments to intervene in private sector investments? What are the specific conditions that prompt government takings?
  • What happens when the rules of the game suddenly change, and governments look for quick fixes through outright expropriation or through regulatory change amounting to creeping expropriation?
  • Are some regions more predictable than others in assessing possible expropriation? How can investors/lenders assess and mitigate against potential risks?
Catherine Aubert, Managing Director and Head of Trade Credit & Political Risk Insurance, Société Générale
Vicky Bowman, Global Practice Leader, External Affairs (Policy), Rio Tinto
Tony Cole, Senior Lecturer, Brunel Law School
Mark Gubbins, Executive Director, Political, Project & Credit Risks, Arthur J. Gallagher International


Moderator: Edith P. Quintrell, Director, Operations Group, Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA)

12:30 - 12:40 Chair's Closing Remarks
Roula Khalaf, Associate Editor and Middle East Editor, Financial Times

12:40 - 13:40 Lunch